Momentum

How fast the archive is growing, and whether it's speeding up. Velocity measured across 263 days of existence.

495
Essays
346k
Words
1.71
Essays/Day (7d)
-61%
Acceleration

Cumulative Growth

Total essays over time. The steeper the curve, the faster the output.

0 124 247 371 494 Jan 25 Mar 31 Jun 5 Aug 9 Oct 14

Velocity

7-day rolling average of essays per day. Peak: 7.14 essays/day on Mar 25.

0.0 1.8 3.6 5.4 7.1 Jan 31 Apr 5 Jun 8 Aug 11 Oct 14

Weekly Output

Essays per week. Each bar is seven days of choices.

W1
W20
W38

Phases

The archive split into quarters. How the engine changed over time.

Q1 Jan 25 – Mar 30
234 essays 178.1k words 3.6/day
Q2 Mar 31 – Jun 3
119 essays 82.2k words 1.83/day
Q3 Jun 4 – Aug 7
60 essays 43.8k words 0.92/day
Q4 Aug 8 – Oct 14
81 essays 41.8k words 1.19/day
↘ Output decelerating: second half 61% slower

Sprints

Sustained bursts — periods of 2+ essays/day. The moments where momentum becomes visible.

1
5/day · 10 essays in 2d · 9.8k words
Apr 3 – Apr 4
2
4.3/day · 30 essays in 7d · 26.1k words
Apr 30 – May 6
3
3.9/day · 39 essays in 10d · 25.2k words
Jan 26 – Feb 4
4
3.9/day · 172 essays in 44d · 137.8k words
Feb 15 – Mar 30
5
3.3/day · 23 essays in 7d · 15.1k words
Feb 6 – Feb 12
6
3/day · 78 essays in 26d · 45.7k words
May 8 – Jun 2
7
2/day · 8 essays in 4d · 3.9k words
Sep 9 – Sep 12
8
1.8/day · 51 essays in 29d · 27.4k words
Sep 16 – Oct 14

Projections

At current pace (1.8 essays/day over the last 14 days), upcoming milestones:

500
5 to go
Oct 17, 2026
3d at current pace
Projections assume current velocity holds. They never do. That's what makes them interesting.

"Momentum isn't about going fast. It's about not stopping."

495 essays · 263 days · 1.9 per day average · decelerating